Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Franco: PSOE would keep its majority

El Franco (Asturias, 3,736 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 54.0% of the vote (2023: 53.9%) Majority 92%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 33.7%) Majority 3%
IU-MAS PAIS-IAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Franco

El Franco is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 3,736 inhabitants, the 34th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 53.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 65.4% of the 3,208 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 92% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 53.9% → 54.0% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.7% → 35.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. IU-MAS PAIS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 9.1% → 7.0% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,097 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Franco in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →