Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Degaña: PSOE would keep its majority

Degaña (Asturias, 821 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.9% of the vote (2023: 41.1%) Majority 45%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.6% of the vote (2023: 29.0%) Majority under 1%
FORO ASTURIAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 55% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Degaña

Degaña is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 821 inhabitants, the 62nd largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 41.1% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS was second with 2. 72.1% of the 718 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 45% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 41.1% → 40.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 29.0% → 26.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 10.8% → 12.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 10.2% → 10.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PCTELocal lists 8.1% → 9.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 518 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Degaña in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →