Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Illas: IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS would keep its majority

Illas (Asturias, 1,062 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 69.8% of the vote (2023: 70.0%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 23.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 70.0% → 69.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.5% → 25.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 5.5% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 707 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Illas in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →