Ibias: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Ibias (Asturias, 1,152 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 50%no list with a majority
- 740valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ibias
Ibias is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 1,152 inhabitants, the 56th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 42.7% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 70.5% of the 1,050 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 42.7% → 44.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 42.3% → 41.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 10.4% → 11.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS IBIASSumar, Podemos and allies 3.6% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 740 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.