Illas: IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS would keep its majority
Illas (Asturias, 1,062 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS majority
- 707valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Illas
Illas is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 1,062 inhabitants, the 60th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS came first with 70% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 77.1% of the 917 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 70.0% → 69.8% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 23.5% → 25.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 5.5% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 707 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.