Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sobrescobio: PSOE would keep its majority

Sobrescobio (Asturias, 829 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 64.8% of the vote (2023: 63.3%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 16.4%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 18.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 63.3% → 64.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 16.4% → 17.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 18.1% → 16.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 603 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sobrescobio in size, in Asturias

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