Sobrescobio: PSOE would keep its majority
Sobrescobio (Asturias, 829 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 603valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Sobrescobio
Sobrescobio is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 829 inhabitants, the 61st largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 63.3% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS was second with 1. 77.7% of the 776 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 63.3% → 64.8% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 16.4% → 17.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 18.1% → 16.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 603 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.