Castrillón: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Castrillón (Asturias, 22,235 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 83%no list with a majority
- 12,190valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
9
councillors (2023: 9) · 41.4% of the vote (2023: 41.5%)
Majority 17%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 23.7%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 19.1% of the vote (2023: 22.0%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 10.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 83% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 41.5% → 41.4% 9 → 9 councillors
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 23.7% → 19.8% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 22.0% → 19.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 10.0% → 16.8% 2 → 4 councillors
- FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,190 valid votes including 227 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.