Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cangas de Onís: PP would keep its majority

Cangas de Onís (Asturias, 6,260 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 61.5% of the vote (2023: 62.0%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 23.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 62.0% → 61.5% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.0% → 19.8% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.0% → 13.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,492 valid votes including 52 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cangas de Onís in size, in Asturias

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