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Laudio/Llodio: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest

Laudio/Llodio (Araba/Álava, 17,906 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 34.1%) Majority 10%
EAJ-PNV−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 33.8%) Majority 0%
OMNIA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.6% of the vote (2023: 1.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 90% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Laudio/Llodio

Laudio/Llodio is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 17,906 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 34.1% of the vote and 7 seats; EAJ-PNV was second with 6. 62.6% of the 14,441 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EH BILDU would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 34.1% → 37.7% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 33.8% → 28.5% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. OMNIALocal lists 15.1% → 16.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 9.6% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 1.6% → 5.6% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 4.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,043 valid votes including 141 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Laudio/Llodio in size, in Araba/Álava

Every municipality in Araba/Álava → · All of Spain →