Iruraiz-Gauna: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Iruraiz-Gauna (Araba/Álava, 537 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 88%EH BILDU majority
- 285valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Iruraiz-Gauna
Iruraiz-Gauna is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 537 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 47% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; EAJ-PNV was second with 3. 61.4% of the 464 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 88% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 47.0% → 55.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 43.9% → 39.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 3.5% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 2.8% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 285 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.