Iruraiz-Gauna: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Iruraiz-Gauna (Araba/Álava, 537 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 88%EH BILDU majority
- 285valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 55.0% of the vote (2023: 47.0%)
Majority 88%
EAJ-PNV±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 43.9%)
Majority 12%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 47.0% → 55.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 43.9% → 39.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 3.5% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 2.8% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 285 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.