Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Elburgo/Burgelu: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Elburgo/Burgelu (Araba/Álava, 629 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 57.0% of the vote (2023: 60.4%) Majority over 99%
EH BILDU+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 18.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 13.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 60.4% → 57.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 18.5% → 22.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 13.6% → 14.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 6.0% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 265 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Elburgo/Burgelu in size, in Araba/Álava

Every municipality in Araba/Álava → · All of Spain →