Elburgo/Burgelu: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority
Elburgo/Burgelu (Araba/Álava, 629 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%EAJ-PNV majority
- 265valid votes in 2023 (52% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Elburgo/Burgelu
Elburgo/Burgelu is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 629 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 60.4% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 1. 52.1% of the 509 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EAJ-PNV on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 60.4% → 57.0% 5 → 4 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 18.5% → 22.9% 1 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 13.6% → 14.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 6.0% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 265 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.