Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Lanciego/Lantziego: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Lanciego/Lantziego (Araba/Álava, 724 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 53.0%) Majority 78%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority 0%
EH BILDU±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 53.0% → 49.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 28.6% → 29.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. EH BILDUEH Bildu 13.8% → 17.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 3.8% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 370 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lanciego/Lantziego in size, in Araba/Álava

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