Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Artziniega: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Artziniega (Araba/Álava, 1,810 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 60.3% of the vote (2023: 53.1%) Majority 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 31.0%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Artziniega

Artziniega is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 1,810 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 53.1% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; EAJ-PNV was second with 3. 68.6% of the 1,399 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 53.1% → 60.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 31.0% → 26.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 6.8% → 6.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 6.9% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 960 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Artziniega in size, in Araba/Álava

Every municipality in Araba/Álava → · All of Spain →