María: PP would keep its majority
María (Almería, 1,228 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 725valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About María
María is a municipality in the province of Almería with 1,228 inhabitants, the 48th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 87.9% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 1. 71.8% of the 1,010 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 87.9% → 90.4% 8 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 10.9% → 8.4% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 725 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.