Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Abla: PSOE would keep its majority

Abla (Almería, 1,247 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 52.0% of the vote (2023: 52.6%) Majority 66%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 47.0% of the vote (2023: 44.4%) Majority 34%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 52.6% → 52.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 44.4% → 47.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 2.0% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 781 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Abla in size, in Almería

Every municipality in Almería → · All of Spain →