Abla: PSOE would keep its majority
Abla (Almería, 1,247 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 66%PSOE majority
- 781valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Abla
Abla is a municipality in the province of Almería with 1,247 inhabitants, the 47th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 52.6% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 76.9% of the 1,015 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 66% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 52.6% → 52.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 44.4% → 47.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 2.0% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 781 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.