Gérgal: PSOE would keep its majority
Gérgal (Almería, 1,115 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 63%PSOE majority
- 531valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 44.2% of the vote (2023: 48.0%)
Majority 63%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 20.3%)
Majority 0%
VOX±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.4% of the vote (2023: 9.8%)
Majority 0%
CS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 11.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 48.0% → 44.2% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 20.3% → 19.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 9.8% → 16.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 11.5% → 12.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 8.5% → 5.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 531 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.