María: PP would keep its majority
María (Almería, 1,228 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 725valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
9
councillors (2023: 8) · 90.4% of the vote (2023: 87.9%)
Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.4% of the vote (2023: 10.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 87.9% → 90.4% 8 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 10.9% → 8.4% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 725 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.