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Canjáyar: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Canjáyar (Almería, 1,163 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 47.1%) Majority 41%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.3% of the vote (2023: 38.4%) Majority 12%
CÁNJAYAR CIEN POR CIEN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Canjáyar

Canjáyar is a municipality in the province of Almería with 1,163 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 47.1% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 4. 75.6% of the 983 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 47.1% → 45.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.4% → 39.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CÁNJAYAR CIEN POR CIENLocal lists 10.2% → 11.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. 3ELocal lists 3.8% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 743 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Canjáyar in size, in Almería

Every municipality in Almería → · All of Spain →