Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ames: no list would have a majority, B.N.G. largest

Ames (A Coruña, 32,095 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

B.N.G.+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 20.9%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−2
6 councillors (2023: 8) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 32.6%) Majority 0%
PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 29.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 3.9%) Majority 0%
ESCO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ames

Ames is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 32,095 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSDEG-PSOE came first with 32.6% of the vote and 8 seats; PP was second with 7. 56.2% of the 24,971 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: B.N.G. would be largest on 7 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. B.N.G.BNG 20.9% → 29.5% 5 → 7 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 32.6% → 26.3% 8 → 6 councillors
  3. PPPP 29.1% → 25.6% 7 → 6 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.9% → 7.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. ESCOLocal lists 6.1% → 5.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. UCINLocal lists 3.0% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,022 valid votes including 240 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ames in size, in A Coruña

Every municipality in A Coruña → · All of Spain →