Oleiros: AV would keep its majority
Oleiros (A Coruña, 37,271 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 95%AV majority
- 17,085valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AV−1
12
councillors (2023: 13) · 52.4% of the vote (2023: 54.3%)
Majority 95%
PP−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 21.2%)
Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 7.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 4.3%)
Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 10.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AVLocal lists 54.3% → 52.4% 13 → 12 councillors
- PPPP 21.2% → 18.9% 5 → 4 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 7.6% → 11.0% 1 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.3% → 8.5% 0 → 2 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 10.2% → 7.0% 2 → 1 councillors
- 'AUTOGOBERNADOS', SEGÚNDO ACRÓNIMO 'SOBERANOS'Local lists 0.5% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,085 valid votes including 322 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.