Oleiros: AV would keep its majority
Oleiros (A Coruña, 37,271 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 95%AV majority
- 17,085valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Oleiros
Oleiros is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 37,271 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AV came first with 54.3% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 57.1% of the 29,898 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AV on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AVLocal lists 54.3% → 52.4% 13 → 12 councillors
- PPPP 21.2% → 18.9% 5 → 4 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 7.6% → 11.0% 1 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.3% → 8.5% 0 → 2 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 10.2% → 7.0% 2 → 1 councillors
- 'AUTOGOBERNADOS', SEGÚNDO ACRÓNIMO 'SOBERANOS'Local lists 0.5% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,085 valid votes including 322 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.