Carballo: B.N.G. would keep its majority
Carballo (A Coruña, 31,432 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%B.N.G. majority
- 15,034valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
B.N.G.+1
14
councillors (2023: 13) · 63.6% of the vote (2023: 53.4%)
Majority over 99%
PP−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 28.7%)
Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 10.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 3.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 53.4% → 63.6% 13 → 14 councillors
- PPPP 28.7% → 21.3% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 10.7% → 6.1% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 3.2% → 5.8% 0 → 1 councillors
- PUM+JLocal lists 2.2% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 0.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,034 valid votes including 212 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.