Carballo: B.N.G. would keep its majority
Carballo (A Coruña, 31,432 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%B.N.G. majority
- 15,034valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carballo
Carballo is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 31,432 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 B.N.G. came first with 53.4% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 57.9% of the 25,960 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps B.N.G. on 14 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 53.4% → 63.6% 13 → 14 councillors
- PPPP 28.7% → 21.3% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 10.7% → 6.1% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 3.2% → 5.8% 0 → 1 councillors
- PUM+JLocal lists 2.2% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 0.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,034 valid votes including 212 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.