Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 20 days PP + Vox majority over 99% 2023 investiture bloc under 1% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Spain
EN ES

Census map · Spain

Share of 25-64 with tertiary education (ISCED 5-8) by province

Share of 25-64 with tertiary education (ISCED 5-8) in every province in Spain: highest in Gipuzkoa (58.6%), lowest in Almería (30.3%); the middle province is at 38.7%. Of the fifth of provinces where it is highest, our forecast has PP winning 5 of 10; where it is lowest, PP wins 10 of 10.

Araba/Álava: 54.1% Araba/Álava: 54.1% Araba/Álava: 54.1% Araba/Álava: 54.1% Gipuzkoa: 58.6% Gipuzkoa: 58.6% Gipuzkoa: 58.6% Gipuzkoa: 58.6% Gipuzkoa: 58.6% Gipuzkoa: 58.6% Bizkaia: 56.5% Bizkaia: 56.5% Bizkaia: 56.5% Bizkaia: 56.5% Bizkaia: 56.5% Bizkaia: 56.5% Bizkaia: 56.5% Bizkaia: 56.5% Albacete: 34.1% Albacete: 34.1% Albacete: 34.1% Albacete: 34.1% Ciudad Real: 34.1% Ciudad Real: 34.1% Ciudad Real: 34.1% Ciudad Real: 34.1% Ciudad Real: 34.1% Cuenca: 31.2% Cuenca: 31.2% Cuenca: 31.2% Guadalajara: 40.3% Guadalajara: 40.3% Guadalajara: 40.3% Toledo: 31.6% Toledo: 31.6% Toledo: 31.6% Toledo: 31.6% Toledo: 31.6% Toledo: 31.6% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Alicante/Alacant: 32.8% Castellón/Castelló: 36.8% Castellón/Castelló: 36.8% Castellón/Castelló: 36.8% Castellón/Castelló: 36.8% Castellón/Castelló: 36.8% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Valencia/València: 43.9% Almería: 30.3% Almería: 30.3% Almería: 30.3% Almería: 30.3% Almería: 30.3% Almería: 30.3% Cádiz: 34.8% Cádiz: 34.8% Cádiz: 34.8% Cádiz: 34.8% Cádiz: 34.8% Cádiz: 34.8% Cádiz: 34.8% Cádiz: 34.8% Cádiz: 34.8% Córdoba: 37.0% Córdoba: 37.0% Córdoba: 37.0% Córdoba: 37.0% Córdoba: 37.0% Córdoba: 37.0% Granada: 40.3% Granada: 40.3% Granada: 40.3% Granada: 40.3% Granada: 40.3% Granada: 40.3% Granada: 40.3% Huelva: 31.4% Huelva: 31.4% Huelva: 31.4% Huelva: 31.4% Huelva: 31.4% Jaén: 32.9% Jaén: 32.9% Jaén: 32.9% Jaén: 32.9% Jaén: 32.9% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Málaga: 35.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Sevilla: 38.6% Ávila: 37.0% Ávila: 37.0% Ávila: 37.0% Burgos: 48.4% Burgos: 48.4% Burgos: 48.4% Burgos: 48.4% León: 40.7% León: 40.7% León: 40.7% León: 40.7% Palencia: 42.0% Palencia: 42.0% Palencia: 42.0% Salamanca: 46.0% Salamanca: 46.0% Salamanca: 46.0% Salamanca: 46.0% Segovia: 42.4% Segovia: 42.4% Segovia: 42.4% Soria: 43.4% Soria: 43.4% Valladolid: 47.8% Valladolid: 47.8% Valladolid: 47.8% Valladolid: 47.8% Valladolid: 47.8% Zamora: 37.2% Zamora: 37.2% Zamora: 37.2% Badajoz: 34.7% Badajoz: 34.7% Badajoz: 34.7% Badajoz: 34.7% Badajoz: 34.7% Cáceres: 35.3% Cáceres: 35.3% Cáceres: 35.3% Cáceres: 35.3% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Barcelona: 48.9% Girona: 37.1% Girona: 37.1% Girona: 37.1% Girona: 37.1% Girona: 37.1% Girona: 37.1% Lleida: 38.7% Lleida: 38.7% Lleida: 38.7% Lleida: 38.7% Tarragona: 39.4% Tarragona: 39.4% Tarragona: 39.4% Tarragona: 39.4% Tarragona: 39.4% Tarragona: 39.4% A Coruña: 47.0% A Coruña: 47.0% A Coruña: 47.0% A Coruña: 47.0% A Coruña: 47.0% A Coruña: 47.0% A Coruña: 47.0% A Coruña: 47.0% Lugo: 40.2% Lugo: 40.2% Lugo: 40.2% Lugo: 40.2% Ourense: 38.1% Ourense: 38.1% Ourense: 38.1% Ourense: 38.1% Pontevedra: 41.4% Pontevedra: 41.4% Pontevedra: 41.4% Pontevedra: 41.4% Pontevedra: 41.4% Pontevedra: 41.4% Pontevedra: 41.4% Huesca: 41.0% Huesca: 41.0% Huesca: 41.0% Teruel: 38.6% Teruel: 38.6% Teruel: 38.6% Zaragoza: 45.3% Zaragoza: 45.3% Zaragoza: 45.3% Zaragoza: 45.3% Zaragoza: 45.3% Zaragoza: 45.3% Zaragoza: 45.3% La Rioja: 41.8% La Rioja: 41.8% La Rioja: 41.8% La Rioja: 41.8% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Madrid: 52.4% Murcia: 33.8% Murcia: 33.8% Murcia: 33.8% Murcia: 33.8% Murcia: 33.8% Murcia: 33.8% Murcia: 33.8% Murcia: 33.8% Murcia: 33.8% Murcia: 33.8% Navarra: 48.8% Navarra: 48.8% Navarra: 48.8% Navarra: 48.8% Navarra: 48.8% Asturias: 46.7% Asturias: 46.7% Asturias: 46.7% Asturias: 46.7% Asturias: 46.7% Asturias: 46.7% Asturias: 46.7% Cantabria: 46.4% Cantabria: 46.4% Cantabria: 46.4% Cantabria: 46.4% Cantabria: 46.4% Illes Balears: 36.2% Illes Balears: 36.2% Illes Balears: 36.2% Illes Balears: 36.2% Illes Balears: 36.2% Illes Balears: 36.2% Illes Balears: 36.2% Illes Balears: 36.2% Ceuta: 32.4% Melilla: 32.9% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 38.1% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 38.1% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 38.1% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 38.1% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 38.1% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 38.1% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 38.1% Las Palmas: 35.4% Las Palmas: 35.4% Las Palmas: 35.4% Las Palmas: 35.4% Las Palmas: 35.4% Las Palmas: 35.4% Las Palmas: 35.4% Las Palmas: 35.4%
  • 30.3% – 34.1% (10)
  • 34.1% – 37.1% (10)
  • 37.1% – 40.3% (10)
  • 40.3% – 46.0% (10)
  • 46.0% – 58.6% (12)
One hexagon per province, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#ProvinceShare of 25-64 with tertiary education (ISCED 5-8)Projected
1 Gipuzkoa 58.6%EH Bildu
2 Bizkaia 56.5%PSOE
3 Araba/Álava 54.1%PSOE
4 Madrid 52.4%PP
5 Barcelona 48.9%PSOE
6 Navarra 48.8%PSOE
7 Burgos 48.4%PP
8 Valladolid 47.8%PP
9 A Coruña 47.0%PP
10 Asturias 46.7%PP
11 Cantabria 46.4%PP
12 Salamanca 46.0%PP
13 Zaragoza 45.3%PP
14 Valencia/València 43.9%PP
15 Soria 43.4%PP

Lowest: the bottom 15

#ProvinceShare of 25-64 with tertiary education (ISCED 5-8)Projected
52 Almería 30.3%PP
51 Cuenca 31.2%PP
50 Huelva 31.4%PP
49 Toledo 31.6%PP
48 Ceuta 32.4%PP
47 Alicante/Alacant 32.8%PP
46 Melilla 32.9%PP
45 Jaén 32.9%PP
44 Murcia 33.8%PP
43 Ciudad Real 34.1%PP
42 Albacete 34.1%PP
41 Badajoz 34.7%PP
40 Cádiz 34.8%PP
39 Cáceres 35.3%PP
38 Las Palmas 35.4%PSOE
Every province (52), highest first
#ProvinceRegionShare of 25-64 with tertiary education (ISCED 5-8)Projected
1 Gipuzkoa País Vasco58.6%EH Bildu
2 Bizkaia País Vasco56.5%PSOE
3 Araba/Álava País Vasco54.1%PSOE
4 Madrid Comunidad de Madrid52.4%PP
5 Barcelona Cataluña48.9%PSOE
6 Navarra Comunidad Foral de Navarra48.8%PSOE
7 Burgos Castilla y León48.4%PP
8 Valladolid Castilla y León47.8%PP
9 A Coruña Galicia47.0%PP
10 Asturias Principado de Asturias46.7%PP
11 Cantabria Cantabria46.4%PP
12 Salamanca Castilla y León46.0%PP
13 Zaragoza Aragón45.3%PP
14 Valencia/València Comunitat Valenciana43.9%PP
15 Soria Castilla y León43.4%PP
16 Segovia Castilla y León42.4%PP
17 Palencia Castilla y León42.0%PP
18 La Rioja La Rioja41.8%PP
19 Pontevedra Galicia41.4%PP
20 Huesca Aragón41.0%PP
21 León Castilla y León40.7%PP
22 Guadalajara Castilla-La Mancha40.3%PP
23 Granada Andalucía40.3%PP
24 Lugo Galicia40.2%PP
25 Tarragona Cataluña39.4%PSOE
26 Lleida Cataluña38.7%PSOE
27 Sevilla Andalucía38.6%PP
28 Teruel Aragón38.6%PP
29 Ourense Galicia38.1%PP
30 Santa Cruz de Tenerife Canarias38.1%PP
31 Zamora Castilla y León37.2%PP
32 Girona Cataluña37.1%PSOE
33 Córdoba Andalucía37.0%PP
34 Ávila Castilla y León37.0%PP
35 Castellón/Castelló Comunitat Valenciana36.8%PP
36 Illes Balears Illes Balears36.2%PP
37 Málaga Andalucía35.6%PP
38 Las Palmas Canarias35.4%PSOE
39 Cáceres Extremadura35.3%PP
40 Cádiz Andalucía34.8%PP
41 Badajoz Extremadura34.7%PP
42 Albacete Castilla-La Mancha34.1%PP
43 Ciudad Real Castilla-La Mancha34.1%PP
44 Murcia Región de Murcia33.8%PP
45 Jaén Andalucía32.9%PP
46 Melilla Melilla32.9%PP
47 Alicante/Alacant Comunitat Valenciana32.8%PP
48 Ceuta Ceuta32.4%PP
49 Toledo Castilla-La Mancha31.6%PP
50 Huelva Andalucía31.4%PP
51 Cuenca Castilla-La Mancha31.2%PP
52 Almería Andalucía30.3%PP