Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 20 days PP + Vox majority over 99% 2023 investiture bloc under 1% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Spain
EN ES

Census map · Spain

Share of 25-64 with at most lower-secondary education (ISCED 0-2) by province

Share of 25-64 with at most lower-secondary education (ISCED 0-2) in every province in Spain: highest in Almería (53.7%), lowest in Gipuzkoa (20.5%); the middle province is at 37.7%. Of the fifth of provinces where it is highest, our forecast has PP winning 10 of 10; where it is lowest, PP wins 5 of 10.

Araba/Álava: 24.0% Araba/Álava: 24.0% Araba/Álava: 24.0% Araba/Álava: 24.0% Gipuzkoa: 20.5% Gipuzkoa: 20.5% Gipuzkoa: 20.5% Gipuzkoa: 20.5% Gipuzkoa: 20.5% Gipuzkoa: 20.5% Bizkaia: 21.1% Bizkaia: 21.1% Bizkaia: 21.1% Bizkaia: 21.1% Bizkaia: 21.1% Bizkaia: 21.1% Bizkaia: 21.1% Bizkaia: 21.1% Albacete: 46.6% Albacete: 46.6% Albacete: 46.6% Albacete: 46.6% Ciudad Real: 48.1% Ciudad Real: 48.1% Ciudad Real: 48.1% Ciudad Real: 48.1% Ciudad Real: 48.1% Cuenca: 49.6% Cuenca: 49.6% Cuenca: 49.6% Guadalajara: 33.0% Guadalajara: 33.0% Guadalajara: 33.0% Toledo: 46.2% Toledo: 46.2% Toledo: 46.2% Toledo: 46.2% Toledo: 46.2% Toledo: 46.2% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Alicante/Alacant: 45.5% Castellón/Castelló: 41.1% Castellón/Castelló: 41.1% Castellón/Castelló: 41.1% Castellón/Castelló: 41.1% Castellón/Castelló: 41.1% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Valencia/València: 34.7% Almería: 53.7% Almería: 53.7% Almería: 53.7% Almería: 53.7% Almería: 53.7% Almería: 53.7% Cádiz: 44.0% Cádiz: 44.0% Cádiz: 44.0% Cádiz: 44.0% Cádiz: 44.0% Cádiz: 44.0% Cádiz: 44.0% Cádiz: 44.0% Cádiz: 44.0% Córdoba: 43.0% Córdoba: 43.0% Córdoba: 43.0% Córdoba: 43.0% Córdoba: 43.0% Córdoba: 43.0% Granada: 40.8% Granada: 40.8% Granada: 40.8% Granada: 40.8% Granada: 40.8% Granada: 40.8% Granada: 40.8% Huelva: 51.3% Huelva: 51.3% Huelva: 51.3% Huelva: 51.3% Huelva: 51.3% Jaén: 49.4% Jaén: 49.4% Jaén: 49.4% Jaén: 49.4% Jaén: 49.4% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Málaga: 42.3% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Sevilla: 40.8% Ávila: 39.9% Ávila: 39.9% Ávila: 39.9% Burgos: 29.4% Burgos: 29.4% Burgos: 29.4% Burgos: 29.4% León: 35.5% León: 35.5% León: 35.5% León: 35.5% Palencia: 36.3% Palencia: 36.3% Palencia: 36.3% Salamanca: 33.5% Salamanca: 33.5% Salamanca: 33.5% Salamanca: 33.5% Segovia: 35.1% Segovia: 35.1% Segovia: 35.1% Soria: 34.5% Soria: 34.5% Valladolid: 31.0% Valladolid: 31.0% Valladolid: 31.0% Valladolid: 31.0% Valladolid: 31.0% Zamora: 41.7% Zamora: 41.7% Zamora: 41.7% Badajoz: 45.7% Badajoz: 45.7% Badajoz: 45.7% Badajoz: 45.7% Badajoz: 45.7% Cáceres: 46.5% Cáceres: 46.5% Cáceres: 46.5% Cáceres: 46.5% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Barcelona: 27.4% Girona: 38.7% Girona: 38.7% Girona: 38.7% Girona: 38.7% Girona: 38.7% Girona: 38.7% Lleida: 38.3% Lleida: 38.3% Lleida: 38.3% Lleida: 38.3% Tarragona: 36.6% Tarragona: 36.6% Tarragona: 36.6% Tarragona: 36.6% Tarragona: 36.6% Tarragona: 36.6% A Coruña: 31.1% A Coruña: 31.1% A Coruña: 31.1% A Coruña: 31.1% A Coruña: 31.1% A Coruña: 31.1% A Coruña: 31.1% A Coruña: 31.1% Lugo: 37.6% Lugo: 37.6% Lugo: 37.6% Lugo: 37.6% Ourense: 37.0% Ourense: 37.0% Ourense: 37.0% Ourense: 37.0% Pontevedra: 37.7% Pontevedra: 37.7% Pontevedra: 37.7% Pontevedra: 37.7% Pontevedra: 37.7% Pontevedra: 37.7% Pontevedra: 37.7% Huesca: 34.8% Huesca: 34.8% Huesca: 34.8% Teruel: 38.9% Teruel: 38.9% Teruel: 38.9% Zaragoza: 31.1% Zaragoza: 31.1% Zaragoza: 31.1% Zaragoza: 31.1% Zaragoza: 31.1% Zaragoza: 31.1% Zaragoza: 31.1% La Rioja: 35.4% La Rioja: 35.4% La Rioja: 35.4% La Rioja: 35.4% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Madrid: 24.2% Murcia: 44.7% Murcia: 44.7% Murcia: 44.7% Murcia: 44.7% Murcia: 44.7% Murcia: 44.7% Murcia: 44.7% Murcia: 44.7% Murcia: 44.7% Murcia: 44.7% Navarra: 29.8% Navarra: 29.8% Navarra: 29.8% Navarra: 29.8% Navarra: 29.8% Asturias: 29.1% Asturias: 29.1% Asturias: 29.1% Asturias: 29.1% Asturias: 29.1% Asturias: 29.1% Asturias: 29.1% Cantabria: 28.9% Cantabria: 28.9% Cantabria: 28.9% Cantabria: 28.9% Cantabria: 28.9% Illes Balears: 36.3% Illes Balears: 36.3% Illes Balears: 36.3% Illes Balears: 36.3% Illes Balears: 36.3% Illes Balears: 36.3% Illes Balears: 36.3% Illes Balears: 36.3% Ceuta: 47.8% Melilla: 47.3% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 37.7% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 37.7% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 37.7% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 37.7% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 37.7% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 37.7% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 37.7% Las Palmas: 41.0% Las Palmas: 41.0% Las Palmas: 41.0% Las Palmas: 41.0% Las Palmas: 41.0% Las Palmas: 41.0% Las Palmas: 41.0% Las Palmas: 41.0%
  • 20.5% – 31.1% (10)
  • 31.1% – 36.3% (10)
  • 36.3% – 39.9% (10)
  • 39.9% – 45.5% (10)
  • 45.5% – 53.7% (12)
One hexagon per province, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#ProvinceShare of 25-64 with at most lower-secondary education (ISCED 0-2)Projected
1 Almería 53.7%PP
2 Huelva 51.3%PP
3 Cuenca 49.6%PP
4 Jaén 49.4%PP
5 Ciudad Real 48.1%PP
6 Ceuta 47.8%PP
7 Melilla 47.3%PP
8 Albacete 46.6%PP
9 Cáceres 46.5%PP
10 Toledo 46.2%PP
11 Badajoz 45.7%PP
12 Alicante/Alacant 45.5%PP
13 Murcia 44.7%PP
14 Cádiz 44.0%PP
15 Córdoba 43.0%PP

Lowest: the bottom 15

#ProvinceShare of 25-64 with at most lower-secondary education (ISCED 0-2)Projected
52 Gipuzkoa 20.5%EH Bildu
51 Bizkaia 21.1%PSOE
50 Araba/Álava 24.0%PSOE
49 Madrid 24.2%PP
48 Barcelona 27.4%PSOE
47 Cantabria 28.9%PP
46 Asturias 29.1%PP
45 Burgos 29.4%PP
44 Navarra 29.8%PSOE
43 Valladolid 31.0%PP
42 A Coruña 31.1%PP
41 Zaragoza 31.1%PP
40 Guadalajara 33.0%PP
39 Salamanca 33.5%PP
38 Soria 34.5%PP
Every province (52), highest first
#ProvinceRegionShare of 25-64 with at most lower-secondary education (ISCED 0-2)Projected
1 Almería Andalucía53.7%PP
2 Huelva Andalucía51.3%PP
3 Cuenca Castilla-La Mancha49.6%PP
4 Jaén Andalucía49.4%PP
5 Ciudad Real Castilla-La Mancha48.1%PP
6 Ceuta Ceuta47.8%PP
7 Melilla Melilla47.3%PP
8 Albacete Castilla-La Mancha46.6%PP
9 Cáceres Extremadura46.5%PP
10 Toledo Castilla-La Mancha46.2%PP
11 Badajoz Extremadura45.7%PP
12 Alicante/Alacant Comunitat Valenciana45.5%PP
13 Murcia Región de Murcia44.7%PP
14 Cádiz Andalucía44.0%PP
15 Córdoba Andalucía43.0%PP
16 Málaga Andalucía42.3%PP
17 Zamora Castilla y León41.7%PP
18 Castellón/Castelló Comunitat Valenciana41.1%PP
19 Las Palmas Canarias41.0%PSOE
20 Sevilla Andalucía40.8%PP
21 Granada Andalucía40.8%PP
22 Ávila Castilla y León39.9%PP
23 Teruel Aragón38.9%PP
24 Girona Cataluña38.7%PSOE
25 Lleida Cataluña38.3%PSOE
26 Pontevedra Galicia37.7%PP
27 Santa Cruz de Tenerife Canarias37.7%PP
28 Lugo Galicia37.6%PP
29 Ourense Galicia37.0%PP
30 Tarragona Cataluña36.6%PSOE
31 Palencia Castilla y León36.3%PP
32 Illes Balears Illes Balears36.3%PP
33 León Castilla y León35.5%PP
34 La Rioja La Rioja35.4%PP
35 Segovia Castilla y León35.1%PP
36 Huesca Aragón34.8%PP
37 Valencia/València Comunitat Valenciana34.7%PP
38 Soria Castilla y León34.5%PP
39 Salamanca Castilla y León33.5%PP
40 Guadalajara Castilla-La Mancha33.0%PP
41 Zaragoza Aragón31.1%PP
42 A Coruña Galicia31.1%PP
43 Valladolid Castilla y León31.0%PP
44 Navarra Comunidad Foral de Navarra29.8%PSOE
45 Burgos Castilla y León29.4%PP
46 Asturias Principado de Asturias29.1%PP
47 Cantabria Cantabria28.9%PP
48 Barcelona Cataluña27.4%PSOE
49 Madrid Comunidad de Madrid24.2%PP
50 Araba/Álava País Vasco24.0%PSOE
51 Bizkaia País Vasco21.1%PSOE
52 Gipuzkoa País Vasco20.5%EH Bildu