Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 20 days PP + Vox majority over 99% 2023 investiture bloc under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Share aged 0-17 by province

Share aged 0-17 in every province in Spain: highest in Melilla (23.8%), lowest in Zamora (11.1%); the middle province is at 16.1%. Of the fifth of provinces where it is highest, our forecast has PP winning 7 of 10; where it is lowest, PP wins 10 of 10.

Araba/Álava: 16.4% Araba/Álava: 16.4% Araba/Álava: 16.4% Araba/Álava: 16.4% Gipuzkoa: 15.7% Gipuzkoa: 15.7% Gipuzkoa: 15.7% Gipuzkoa: 15.7% Gipuzkoa: 15.7% Gipuzkoa: 15.7% Bizkaia: 14.6% Bizkaia: 14.6% Bizkaia: 14.6% Bizkaia: 14.6% Bizkaia: 14.6% Bizkaia: 14.6% Bizkaia: 14.6% Bizkaia: 14.6% Albacete: 16.1% Albacete: 16.1% Albacete: 16.1% Albacete: 16.1% Ciudad Real: 16.1% Ciudad Real: 16.1% Ciudad Real: 16.1% Ciudad Real: 16.1% Ciudad Real: 16.1% Cuenca: 14.7% Cuenca: 14.7% Cuenca: 14.7% Guadalajara: 18.0% Guadalajara: 18.0% Guadalajara: 18.0% Toledo: 18.5% Toledo: 18.5% Toledo: 18.5% Toledo: 18.5% Toledo: 18.5% Toledo: 18.5% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Alicante/Alacant: 16.6% Castellón/Castelló: 16.9% Castellón/Castelló: 16.9% Castellón/Castelló: 16.9% Castellón/Castelló: 16.9% Castellón/Castelló: 16.9% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Valencia/València: 16.4% Almería: 19.2% Almería: 19.2% Almería: 19.2% Almería: 19.2% Almería: 19.2% Almería: 19.2% Cádiz: 17.0% Cádiz: 17.0% Cádiz: 17.0% Cádiz: 17.0% Cádiz: 17.0% Cádiz: 17.0% Cádiz: 17.0% Cádiz: 17.0% Cádiz: 17.0% Córdoba: 16.3% Córdoba: 16.3% Córdoba: 16.3% Córdoba: 16.3% Córdoba: 16.3% Córdoba: 16.3% Granada: 16.8% Granada: 16.8% Granada: 16.8% Granada: 16.8% Granada: 16.8% Granada: 16.8% Granada: 16.8% Huelva: 17.1% Huelva: 17.1% Huelva: 17.1% Huelva: 17.1% Huelva: 17.1% Jaén: 15.9% Jaén: 15.9% Jaén: 15.9% Jaén: 15.9% Jaén: 15.9% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Málaga: 17.1% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Sevilla: 17.8% Ávila: 14.2% Ávila: 14.2% Ávila: 14.2% Burgos: 14.7% Burgos: 14.7% Burgos: 14.7% Burgos: 14.7% León: 12.3% León: 12.3% León: 12.3% León: 12.3% Palencia: 13.3% Palencia: 13.3% Palencia: 13.3% Salamanca: 13.1% Salamanca: 13.1% Salamanca: 13.1% Salamanca: 13.1% Segovia: 15.0% Segovia: 15.0% Segovia: 15.0% Soria: 14.5% Soria: 14.5% Valladolid: 14.8% Valladolid: 14.8% Valladolid: 14.8% Valladolid: 14.8% Valladolid: 14.8% Zamora: 11.1% Zamora: 11.1% Zamora: 11.1% Badajoz: 16.2% Badajoz: 16.2% Badajoz: 16.2% Badajoz: 16.2% Badajoz: 16.2% Cáceres: 14.1% Cáceres: 14.1% Cáceres: 14.1% Cáceres: 14.1% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Barcelona: 16.4% Girona: 17.8% Girona: 17.8% Girona: 17.8% Girona: 17.8% Girona: 17.8% Girona: 17.8% Lleida: 17.1% Lleida: 17.1% Lleida: 17.1% Lleida: 17.1% Tarragona: 17.5% Tarragona: 17.5% Tarragona: 17.5% Tarragona: 17.5% Tarragona: 17.5% Tarragona: 17.5% A Coruña: 13.7% A Coruña: 13.7% A Coruña: 13.7% A Coruña: 13.7% A Coruña: 13.7% A Coruña: 13.7% A Coruña: 13.7% A Coruña: 13.7% Lugo: 12.2% Lugo: 12.2% Lugo: 12.2% Lugo: 12.2% Ourense: 11.7% Ourense: 11.7% Ourense: 11.7% Ourense: 11.7% Pontevedra: 14.1% Pontevedra: 14.1% Pontevedra: 14.1% Pontevedra: 14.1% Pontevedra: 14.1% Pontevedra: 14.1% Pontevedra: 14.1% Huesca: 15.8% Huesca: 15.8% Huesca: 15.8% Teruel: 15.5% Teruel: 15.5% Teruel: 15.5% Zaragoza: 16.1% Zaragoza: 16.1% Zaragoza: 16.1% Zaragoza: 16.1% Zaragoza: 16.1% Zaragoza: 16.1% Zaragoza: 16.1% La Rioja: 16.3% La Rioja: 16.3% La Rioja: 16.3% La Rioja: 16.3% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Madrid: 16.6% Murcia: 19.1% Murcia: 19.1% Murcia: 19.1% Murcia: 19.1% Murcia: 19.1% Murcia: 19.1% Murcia: 19.1% Murcia: 19.1% Murcia: 19.1% Murcia: 19.1% Navarra: 17.4% Navarra: 17.4% Navarra: 17.4% Navarra: 17.4% Navarra: 17.4% Asturias: 12.5% Asturias: 12.5% Asturias: 12.5% Asturias: 12.5% Asturias: 12.5% Asturias: 12.5% Asturias: 12.5% Cantabria: 14.5% Cantabria: 14.5% Cantabria: 14.5% Cantabria: 14.5% Cantabria: 14.5% Illes Balears: 16.5% Illes Balears: 16.5% Illes Balears: 16.5% Illes Balears: 16.5% Illes Balears: 16.5% Illes Balears: 16.5% Illes Balears: 16.5% Illes Balears: 16.5% Ceuta: 21.3% Melilla: 23.8% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 14.2% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 14.2% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 14.2% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 14.2% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 14.2% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 14.2% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 14.2% Las Palmas: 14.4% Las Palmas: 14.4% Las Palmas: 14.4% Las Palmas: 14.4% Las Palmas: 14.4% Las Palmas: 14.4% Las Palmas: 14.4% Las Palmas: 14.4%
  • 11.1% – 14.2% (10)
  • 14.2% – 15.5% (10)
  • 15.5% – 16.4% (10)
  • 16.4% – 17.1% (9)
  • 17.1% – 23.8% (13)
One hexagon per province, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#ProvinceShare aged 0-17Projected
1 Melilla 23.8%PP
2 Ceuta 21.3%PP
3 Almería 19.2%PP
4 Murcia 19.1%PP
5 Toledo 18.5%PP
6 Guadalajara 18.0%PP
7 Sevilla 17.8%PP
8 Girona 17.8%PSOE
9 Tarragona 17.5%PSOE
10 Navarra 17.4%PSOE
11 Málaga 17.1%PP
12 Huelva 17.1%PP
13 Lleida 17.1%PSOE
14 Cádiz 17.0%PP
15 Castellón/Castelló 16.9%PP

Lowest: the bottom 15

#ProvinceShare aged 0-17Projected
52 Zamora 11.1%PP
51 Ourense 11.7%PP
50 Lugo 12.2%PP
49 León 12.3%PP
48 Asturias 12.5%PP
47 Salamanca 13.1%PP
46 Palencia 13.3%PP
45 A Coruña 13.7%PP
44 Cáceres 14.1%PP
43 Pontevedra 14.1%PP
42 Santa Cruz de Tenerife 14.2%PP
41 Ávila 14.2%PP
40 Las Palmas 14.4%PSOE
39 Soria 14.5%PP
38 Cantabria 14.5%PP
Every province (52), highest first
#ProvinceRegionShare aged 0-17Projected
1 Melilla Melilla23.8%PP
2 Ceuta Ceuta21.3%PP
3 Almería Andalucía19.2%PP
4 Murcia Región de Murcia19.1%PP
5 Toledo Castilla-La Mancha18.5%PP
6 Guadalajara Castilla-La Mancha18.0%PP
7 Sevilla Andalucía17.8%PP
8 Girona Cataluña17.8%PSOE
9 Tarragona Cataluña17.5%PSOE
10 Navarra Comunidad Foral de Navarra17.4%PSOE
11 Málaga Andalucía17.1%PP
12 Huelva Andalucía17.1%PP
13 Lleida Cataluña17.1%PSOE
14 Cádiz Andalucía17.0%PP
15 Castellón/Castelló Comunitat Valenciana16.9%PP
16 Granada Andalucía16.8%PP
17 Alicante/Alacant Comunitat Valenciana16.6%PP
18 Madrid Comunidad de Madrid16.6%PP
19 Illes Balears Illes Balears16.5%PP
20 Valencia/València Comunitat Valenciana16.4%PP
21 Araba/Álava País Vasco16.4%PSOE
22 Barcelona Cataluña16.4%PSOE
23 Córdoba Andalucía16.3%PP
24 La Rioja La Rioja16.3%PP
25 Badajoz Extremadura16.2%PP
26 Albacete Castilla-La Mancha16.1%PP
27 Zaragoza Aragón16.1%PP
28 Ciudad Real Castilla-La Mancha16.1%PP
29 Jaén Andalucía15.9%PP
30 Huesca Aragón15.8%PP
31 Gipuzkoa País Vasco15.7%EH Bildu
32 Teruel Aragón15.5%PP
33 Segovia Castilla y León15.0%PP
34 Valladolid Castilla y León14.8%PP
35 Burgos Castilla y León14.7%PP
36 Cuenca Castilla-La Mancha14.7%PP
37 Bizkaia País Vasco14.6%PSOE
38 Cantabria Cantabria14.5%PP
39 Soria Castilla y León14.5%PP
40 Las Palmas Canarias14.4%PSOE
41 Ávila Castilla y León14.2%PP
42 Santa Cruz de Tenerife Canarias14.2%PP
43 Pontevedra Galicia14.1%PP
44 Cáceres Extremadura14.1%PP
45 A Coruña Galicia13.7%PP
46 Palencia Castilla y León13.3%PP
47 Salamanca Castilla y León13.1%PP
48 Asturias Principado de Asturias12.5%PP
49 León Castilla y León12.3%PP
50 Lugo Galicia12.2%PP
51 Ourense Galicia11.7%PP
52 Zamora Castilla y León11.1%PP