Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
Noble Predictive Insights , 4 June 2026
Noble Predictive Insights has JD Vance ahead of Marco Rubio by 19 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 36% to 17%. Since its previous poll (6 October 2025): Marco Rubio +13 (4 → 17), JD Vance −2 (38 → 36), Ted Cruz +2 (3 → 5).
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 1 June 2026 – 4 June 2026 |
| Stage | primary R |
| Sample | 1,046 (registered voters) |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 JD Vance R |
36 | |
 Marco Rubio R |
17 | |
| Undecided | 17 | |
| Other | 13 | |
 Ron DeSantis R |
7 | |
 Ted Cruz R |
5 | |
 Nikki Haley R |
3 | |
 Vivek Ramaswamy R |
3 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 4 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Ted Cruz 5% against 3%; JD Vance 36% against 37.5%.
Noble Predictive Insights's previous poll of this race, 6 October 2025 →
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ted Cruz.
- JD Vance: Photo: Emily J. Higgins, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:March_2026_Official_Vice_Presidential_Portrait_of_JD_Vance.jpg)
- Marco Rubio: Photo: U.S. Department of State, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Official_portrait_of_Secretary_Marco_Rubio.jpg)
- Nikki Haley: Photo: United States Department of State, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nikki_Haley_official_photo.jpg)
- Ron DeSantis: Photo: United States Congress, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ron_DeSantis_113th_Congress.jpg)
- Vivek Ramaswamy: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vivek_Ramaswamy_(55241367373)_(cropped).jpg)