Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
Noble Predictive Insights , 6 October 2025
Noble Predictive Insights has JD Vance ahead of Donald Trump Jr. by 13 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 38% to 25%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 2 October 2025 – 6 October 2025 |
| Stage | primary R |
| Sample | 1,156 (registered voters) |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 JD Vance R |
38 | |
 Donald Trump Jr. R |
25 | |
| Undecided | 15 | |
 Ron DeSantis R |
6 | |
| Other | 6 | |
 Marco Rubio R |
4 | |
 Ted Cruz R |
3 | |
 Nikki Haley R |
3 |
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ted Cruz.
- Donald Trump Jr.: Photo: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Donald_Trump,_Jr._(53808883476)_(cropped).jpg)
- JD Vance: Photo: Emily J. Higgins, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:March_2026_Official_Vice_Presidential_Portrait_of_JD_Vance.jpg)
- Marco Rubio: Photo: U.S. Department of State, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Official_portrait_of_Secretary_Marco_Rubio.jpg)
- Nikki Haley: Photo: United States Department of State, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nikki_Haley_official_photo.jpg)
- Ron DeSantis: Photo: United States Congress, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ron_DeSantis_113th_Congress.jpg)