Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
Big Data Poll , 24 January 2026
Big Data Poll has Kamala Harris ahead of Gavin Newsom by 9.2 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 31.4% to 22.2%. Since its previous poll (12 December 2025): Gavin Newsom +2.2 (20 → 22.2), Pete Buttigieg +1.7 (10 → 11.7).
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 22 January 2026 – 24 January 2026 |
| Stage | primary D |
| Sample | 1,346 (likely voters) |
| Method | mixed: online (Lucid/CINT) plus live-agent phone and P2P SMS text-to-web from L2/Aristotle voter files |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 Kamala Harris D |
31.4 | |
 Gavin Newsom D |
22.2 | |
| Undecided | 12.4 | |
 Pete Buttigieg D |
11.7 | |
| Other | 7.2 | |
 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez D |
6.4 | |
 Josh Shapiro D |
6.1 | |
 Andy Beshear D |
2.5 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 5 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Pete Buttigieg 11.7% against 8%; Kamala Harris 31.4% against 34%.
Big Data Poll's previous poll of this race, 12 December 2025 →
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
- Andy Beshear: Photo: Dale Greer, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kentucky_Air_Guard_supports_governor's_inauguration_(1)_(cropped).jpg)
- Gavin Newsom: Photo: Charles Ommanney – Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Governor_of_California_Gavin_Newsom_(cropped_3x4).jpg)
- Josh Shapiro: Photo: Governor Tom Wolf, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Josh_Shapiro_2022_(cropped).jpg)
- Kamala Harris: Photo: The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kamala_Harris_Vice_Presidential_Portrait.jpg)
- Pete Buttigieg: Photo: United States Department of Transportation, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pete_Buttigieg,_Secretary_of_Transportation.jpg)