Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
Big Data Poll , 12 December 2025
Big Data Poll has Kamala Harris ahead of Gavin Newsom by 11 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 31% to 20%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 10 December 2025 – 12 December 2025 |
| Stage | primary D |
| Sample | 1,331 (registered voters) |
| Method | mixed: online (Lucid/CINT) plus live-agent phone and P2P SMS text-to-web from L2/Aristotle voter files |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 Kamala Harris D |
31 | |
 Gavin Newsom D |
20 | |
| Undecided | 14 | |
| Other | 12 | |
 Pete Buttigieg D |
10 | |
 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez D |
6 | |
 Josh Shapiro D |
6 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 4 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Kamala Harris 31% against 24.5%; Gavin Newsom 20% against 22%.
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
- Gavin Newsom: Photo: Charles Ommanney – Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Governor_of_California_Gavin_Newsom_(cropped_3x4).jpg)
- Josh Shapiro: Photo: Governor Tom Wolf, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Josh_Shapiro_2022_(cropped).jpg)
- Kamala Harris: Photo: The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kamala_Harris_Vice_Presidential_Portrait.jpg)
- Pete Buttigieg: Photo: United States Department of Transportation, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pete_Buttigieg,_Secretary_of_Transportation.jpg)