United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 11 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · 2028 presidential election, national

Focaldata, 11 August 2026

Focaldata has Kamala Harris ahead of Gavin Newsom by 11 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 26% to 15%. Since its previous poll (30 June 2026): Kamala Harris −7 (33 → 26), Pete Buttigieg +5 (8 → 13), Josh Shapiro +1 (7 → 8).

Race2028 presidential election, national
Fieldwork7 August 2026 – 11 August 2026
Stageprimary D
Sample616 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageNo: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window

Main

Kamala HarrisKamala Harris D 26
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom D 15
Undecided 15
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg D 13
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez D 9
Josh ShapiroJosh Shapiro D 8
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff D 7
Mark KellyMark Kelly D 6
Other 2
Andy BeshearAndy Beshear D 1

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 3 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Kamala Harris 26% against 28%; Josh Shapiro 8% against 6%.

Focaldata's previous poll of this race, 30 June 2026 →

Photo credits

3 official portraits from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Mark Kelly.

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