United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 11 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · 2028 presidential election, national

Focaldata, 30 June 2026

Focaldata has Kamala Harris ahead of Gavin Newsom by 18 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 33% to 15%. Since its previous poll (1 June 2026): Kamala Harris −4 (37 → 33), Josh Shapiro +4 (3 → 7), Gavin Newsom −2 (17 → 15).

Race2028 presidential election, national
Fieldwork26 June 2026 – 30 June 2026
Stageprimary D
Sample755 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageNo: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window

Main

Kamala HarrisKamala Harris D 33
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom D 15
Undecided 15
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez D 9
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg D 8
Josh ShapiroJosh Shapiro D 7
Mark KellyMark Kelly D 5
JB PritzkerJB Pritzker D 3
Andy BeshearAndy Beshear D 2
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff D 2
Other 1

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 4 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Kamala Harris 33% against 27.5%; Josh Shapiro 7% against 4.5%.

Focaldata's previous poll of this race, 1 June 2026 →

Photo credits

3 official portraits from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Mark Kelly.

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