United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Michigan Senate

Tyson Group , 8 October 2026

Tyson Group has Mike Rogers ahead of Abdul El-Sayed by 2 points in Michigan Senate, 46% to 44%. Since its previous poll (27 September 2026): Mike Rogers +3 (43 → 46).

Race Michigan Senate
Fieldwork6 October 2026 – 8 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample600 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Mike RogersMike Rogers R 46
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed D 44

Margin on the decided vote: R+2.2; after our adjustments R+2.6, which includes a move of 0.3 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 7 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Abdul El-Sayed 44% against 48%.

Tyson Group's previous poll of this race, 27 September 2026 →

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Mike Rogers.

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