United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Michigan Senate

Tyson Group , 27 September 2026

Tyson Group has Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Mike Rogers by 1 points in Michigan Senate, 44% to 43%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.

Race Michigan Senate
Fieldwork24 September 2026 – 27 September 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample600 (likely voters)
Paid for byAlliance for a Better Future
Pollster's leanMostly works for Republicans
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed D 44
Mike RogersMike Rogers R 43
Undecided 13

Margin on the decided vote: D+1.1; after our adjustments D+3.6, which includes a move of 0.6 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 16 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Abdul El-Sayed 44% against 47.5%.

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Mike Rogers.

You may also like