How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 95 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did SPD win at Germany's 2021 election?
25.7%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
21.3%. See the page
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3At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Con: 21.1% in the final polls, 24.4% on the day. See the page
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4At the United States' 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 34 final polls. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls closest to the result?
2000: 0.4 points out per party on average. See the page
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6Who leads the polls in Germany?
AfD on 27.4% in our average, ahead of CDU/CSU on 20.5%. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2021 election?
VVD with 21.9%, ahead of D66 on 15.0%. See the page
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8At France's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
RN + allies: 36.1% in the final polls, 33.2% on the day. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?
Con with 44.7%, ahead of Lab on 32.9%. See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give Left (NFP and other left) in the Assemblée nationale in France?
284 in our projection, 5 short of a majority. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.