How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 96 for 4 November 2026.
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1At Australia's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Labor: 31.9% in the final polls, 34.6% on the day. See the page
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2In Canada, what chance does our forecast give for “NDP reaches 12 seats (party status)”?
36%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2021 election?
33.7%. See the page
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4At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lega: 12.0% in the final polls, 8.8% on the day. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2022 election?
Coalition with 35.7%, ahead of Labor on 32.6%. See the page
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6How many seats does our forecast give PiS in the Sejm in Poland?
132 in our projection. See the page
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7At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
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9In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour largest party”?
95%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at France's 2012 election?
PS with 28.6%, ahead of LR on 27.2%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.