How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 88 for 4 November 2026.
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1Who leads the polls in France?
Le Pen on 34.4% in our average, ahead of Mélenchon on 16.9%. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2023 election?
PiS with 35.4%, ahead of KO on 30.7%. See the page
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3At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
VVD: 12.0% in the final polls, 14.2% on the day. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Ensemble win at France's 2017 election?
24.0%. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PP win at Spain's 2023 election?
33.1%. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls furthest out?
2005: 4.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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7In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “BSW clears 5%”?
5%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2022 election?
Coalition with 35.7%, ahead of Labor on 32.6%. See the page
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9At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls closest to the result?
2004: 0.1 points out per party on average. See the page
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10Which party has gained most in the polls since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
PRO: 12.8% then, 18.8% in our average now (+6.0 points). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.