How well do you know the polls in Italy?

1. 1At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   PD Lega FdI M5S

2. 2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2018 election?

   25% 29% 33% 41%

3. 3Which party has gained most in the polls since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?

   AVS FdI NM FI

4. 4Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2018 election?

   Lega M5S FI PD

5. 5At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls furthest out?

   2022 2008 2013 2001

6. 6At Italy's 2022 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 2.0 points 4.0 points 6.0 points

7. 7How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?

   169 196 223 277

8. 8In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Majority in both chambers”?

   20% 35% 60% 85%

9. 9At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   M5S FdI Lega PD

10. 10Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2022 election?

    PD M5S FdI Lega

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.