How well do you know the polls in France?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 88 for 4 November 2026.
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1In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen wins”?
93%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at France's 2012 election?
PS with 28.6%, ahead of LR on 27.2%. See the page
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3How many seats does our forecast give RN and allies in the Assemblée nationale in France?
123 in our projection. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PS win at France's 2012 election?
28.6%. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at France's 2007 election?
LR with 31.2%, ahead of PS on 25.9%. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were France's final polls closest to the result?
2017: 0.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at France's 2022 election?
Ensemble with 27.9%, ahead of RN on 23.2%. See the page
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8In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen v Mélenchon in round two”?
74%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9At France's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
RN + allies: 36.1% in the final polls, 33.2% on the day. See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give Left (NFP and other left) in the Assemblée nationale in France?
284 in our projection, 5 short of a majority. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.