How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 87 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
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2In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen wins”?
93%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls closest to the result?
2016: 0.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Democrat win at the United States' 2016 election?
48.1%. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2025 election?
D66 with 16.9%, ahead of PVV on 16.7%. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at France's 2012 election?
PS with 28.6%, ahead of LR on 27.2%. See the page
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8In the United States, what chance does our forecast give for “Democratic House majority”?
90%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9Which party has gained most in the polls since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Vox: 12.4% then, 19.0% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
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10At Australia's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.0 points per party, over 10 final polls. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.