How well do you know the polls in France?

1. 1In France, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?

   Mélenchon Retailleau Le Pen Philippe

2. 2Which party won the most votes at France's 2012 election?

   RN PS LFI LR

3. 3In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen v Mélenchon in round two”?

   32% 47% 72% 97%

4. 4In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen wins”?

   53% 68% 78% 93%

5. 5At France's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   Ensemble LR Left (NFP) RN + allies

6. 6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Ensemble win at France's 2022 election?

   20% 24% 28% 36%

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did LR win at France's 2007 election?

   23% 27% 31% 39%

8. 8At France's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 1.5 points 2.0 points 3.0 points

9. 9Which party won the most votes at France's 2007 election?

   Centre PS LR RN

10. 10Which party won the most votes at France's 2022 election?

    Ensemble REC RN LFI

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.