How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 83 for 4 November 2026.
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1At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls closest to the result?
2015: 0.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2023 election?
PP with 33.1%, ahead of PSOE on 31.7%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
Con with 43.4%, ahead of Lab on 41.0%. See the page
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4In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Majority for any one party”?
46%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5In Canada, what chance does our forecast give for “NDP reaches 12 seats (party status)”?
36%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Democrat win at the United States' 2020 election?
51.3%. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give CDU/CSU in the Bundestag in Germany?
148 in our projection. See the page
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9At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
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10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?
34.6%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.