How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 84 for 4 November 2026.
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1At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lab: 38.9% in the final polls, 34.7% on the day. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2016 election?
42.0%. See the page
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3At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.2 points per party, over 20 final polls. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2015 election?
Liberal with 39.5%, ahead of Conservative on 31.9%. See the page
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5In Canada, what chance does our forecast give for “NDP reaches 12 seats (party status)”?
36%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6At France's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
RN + allies: 36.1% in the final polls, 33.2% on the day. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2015 election?
PiS with 37.6%, ahead of KO on 31.7%. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did SPD win at Germany's 2021 election?
25.7%. See the page
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9Which party has lost most support since Australia's last election?
Coalition: 31.8% then, 22.9% in our average now (−9.0 points). See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls furthest out?
2016: 2.8 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.