How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 81 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?
44.7%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?
41.4%. See the page
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3In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour largest”?
94%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2017 election?
CDU/CSU with 32.9%, ahead of SPD on 20.5%. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls furthest out?
2004: 5.0 points out per party on average. See the page
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7In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Lega clears 3%”?
88%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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8Which country's final polls have missed by most since 2000?
Italy: 2.6 points out per party on average over 6 elections. See the page
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9How many seats does our forecast give CDU/CSU in the Bundestag in Germany?
148 in our projection. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls closest to the result?
2004: 0.1 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.