How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 82 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Ensemble win at France's 2017 election?
24.0%. See the page
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2At Australia's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.0 points per party, over 10 final polls. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?
34.6%. See the page
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5In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “BSW clears 5%”?
5%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6At Spain's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PP: 34.1% in the final polls, 33.1% on the day. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at France's 2022 election?
Ensemble with 27.9%, ahead of RN on 23.2%. See the page
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8At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
VVD: 12.0% in the final polls, 14.2% on the day. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2021 election?
Conservative with 33.7%, ahead of Liberal on 32.6%. See the page
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10In Spain, what chance does our forecast give for “Podemos wins a seat”?
69%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.