How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 80 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2022 election?
35.7%. See the page
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2At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls furthest out?
2016: 2.8 points out per party on average. See the page
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3In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Right-wing majority”?
91%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2013 election?
M5S with 25.6%, ahead of PD on 25.4%. See the page
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5Which country's final polls have been closest to the results since 2000?
Germany: 1.3 points out per party on average over 7 elections. See the page
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6At Canada's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Conservative: 38.9% in the final polls, 41.3% on the day. See the page
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7Who leads the polls in France?
Le Pen on 34.2% in our average, ahead of Mélenchon on 16.8%. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2019 election?
43.6%. See the page
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9How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?
223 in our projection, a majority (201 needed). See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2015 election?
PP with 28.3%, ahead of Sumar on 24.4%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.